Thursday, 8 October 2026

Eighteen Seconds at 168 Knots: What the VN34 Munich Interim Report Tells Us

 

A Take-off that used 4,000 metres of runway, and then some

On 15 August 2026, a Vietnam Airlines Boeing 787-9 departed from Munich for Hanoi and became airborne from grass beyond the end of runway 26L. Runway 26L is 4,000 metres long, and the afternoon was clear with light, variable winds.

The tail struck the ground; the main gear and tail took out 20 approach lights, and the crew returned two hours later with damaged tyres. All 287 people walked away. The aircraft did not walk away as cleanly; the BFU classifies it as an accident with substantial damage.

The German BFU published its interim report on 28 September. It names no cause yet, and neither will I. But the recorder data already tells a story every airline pilot, training captain, and safety manager should read closely. Here is my take, as someone who has spent a career on both sides of the check-ride table.

What the interim report says

The setup was hot and heavy, but nothing exotic. Munich sits at 1,487 ft. The temperature was 33°C, and the take-off mass was 240,857 kg, against a maximum of 247,207 kg. The crew calculated V1 at 169 kt, Vr at 175 kt and V2 at 180 kt.

On board were 271 passengers, 12 cabin crew and four pilots. The captain on take-off was 64, with 27,182 hours, including 7,795 as a 787 captain. The pilot monitoring had 12,375 hours. The operator's nominated pilot in command sat in the left jump seat.

The key moments from the flight recorders, in local time:

Time

What the recorders show

13:56:12

Take-off mode engaged

13:56:15

Both left-seat brake pedals move; brake command 15% left, 6% right

13:57:03

Airspeed stalls near 168 kt and stays there for about 18 seconds

13:57:12

Brake command peaks at about 27% left, 17% right

13:57:14

Rotation at 163 kt, abeam the far threshold

13:57:19

V1 reached, 11 ft above the ground

13:57:29

TAIL_STRIKE parameter recorded

The tyre tracks ran across the 60 m clearway and ended about 240 m past the runway end. Stall protection extended the slats automatically 1 second after V1, with pitch at 12.2° and an angle of attack of 14°. Read that again: this aircraft reached its decision speed in the air.

What's new since the interim report

Ten days on, there is still no cause and no BFU safety recommendation. As far as I can tell, Boeing, the FAA, and EASA have not issued any airworthiness action on the 787 brake system. However, several details have emerged that sharpen the picture.

How far the pedals moved. Vietnamese coverage of the report gives the maximum recorded brake pedal angle as 7.2 degrees, on a scale that runs to 12.5. That is more than half the available travel. If it were a foot, it would be more than a light brush of the toes. If it were a sensor, it would be a convincing false signal. Either way, it is exactly why hardware testing matters.

Where the investigation is looking. Aviation Week reports that the BFU is concentrating on the Brake System Control Units and the Electric Brake Actuator Controllers. With the take-off audio overwritten, the answer will have to come from flight data and the components themselves.

The crew. The four pilots comprised three captains and one first officer, with 63,938 hours between them and 19,675 hours on the 787. Whatever happened here, inexperience was not the issue.

The response in Hanoi. Vietnam's Ministry of Construction directed the CAAV to coordinate with the BFU, report findings and corrective measures, and tighten safety oversight of training, operations and maintenance across Vietnamese airlines. Vietnam Airlines was told to work with the BFU, Boeing and the engine manufacturer, and to review its training, operations and maintenance processes.

Eighteen seconds that ate the runway

The single most important number in this report is not a speed. It is a duration: roughly 18 seconds, at an airspeed of about 168 kt.

Do the arithmetic. 168 kt is about 86 m/s. At that speed, 18 seconds cover about 1,550 metres of runway, close to 40% of 26L, without gaining a single knot. A heavy 787 would normally reach Vr within the last 7 knots, in a few seconds. You do not need a performance error or a weak engine to explain the overrun. That plateau alone does it.

Thrust does not appear to be the culprit. One second before rotation, the pilot monitoring increased the thrust from 100% to 101% N1. The engines were delivering. Something was taking that thrust away, and the recorders show what was competing with it: the brakes. Feet on the brakes, or a fault in the box?

Three seconds into the roll, the recorders logged rudder pedal movement and both left-seat brake pedals moving together. Tyre marks were later found near taxiway B4. Left braking was higher than right throughout.

Anyone who has spent time in a simulator as an instructor has seen this picture. The heels creep up the pedals, the pilot makes small rudder corrections to hold the centreline, and toe pressure follows the rudder. If the left brake drags more, the nose wants to go left, right rudder comes in, and the cycle feeds itself. It is a human, physical, and very ordinary failure mode.

But I would not hang this on the pilot yet. The 787 uses electric brakes, and the recorded "pedal movement" comes from position transducers. A transducer or controller fault could produce a brake command with no foot pressing anything. The BFU has seized the Brake System Control Units and the Electric Brake Actuator Controllers, and that hardware will be decisive. The honest framing today is pilot input, sensor or controller fault, or some combination of the two.

The V1 trap: This is the part that should keep training departments up at night.

According to Vietnam's preliminary account, the crew reported that acceleration stopped for about two seconds halfway down the runway. They then saw speed fall after V1, judged there was insufficient runway to stop, selected maximum thrust and continued.

The recorders tell a different story. The plateau lasted about 18 seconds, not two. They never reached V1 on the runway. The crew made a continue decision at a decision speed they had not yet achieved. I am not criticising them for that. Time compression under surprise and high workload is well documented, and I have watched excellent pilots misjudge seconds in the simulator.

The deeper point concerns what V1 is. V1 is a speed that stands in for a distance. It only means what we think it means if the aircraft accelerates as the performance calculation assumed. Once acceleration degrades, the link between speed and remaining runway breaks, and V1 quietly stops protecting you. By the time this crew could see the problem clearly, neither stopping nor going left left any margin for what anyone had planned. We train V1 as a hard line, and for engine failures that is exactly right. We rarely train crews to recognise a take-off that is simply too slow, or to judge acceleration against the distance markers as they pass. Most fleets have no take-off acceleration monitoring to help them. I expect this to become one of the central systemic findings.

The rotation, the tail strike and the trip back

Rotation began at 163 kt, 12 kt below Vr, with the aircraft already level with the far threshold. Rotating that early, at that pitch, made a tail strike close to inevitable. Given that the alternative was running into the approach lights at full thrust, I would call that rotation the least-bad option available. The tail strike was a consequence, not a separate event.

The return flight was methodical. The crew declared PAN, suspected a flat tyre, dumped 62 tonnes of fuel over about 45 minutes, and flew two gear-down passes so the ground could inspect the gear before landing. If they suspected a tyre failure, why did they retract the gear? Not once, but thrice!
But a fair question remains. A Swiss newspaper's analysis of the published radio calls suggests the crew may not have grasped the full scale of what had happened, even after liftoff. A suspected tail strike shifts priorities: possible structural damage argues for remaining unpressurised and landing promptly, rather than jettisoning weight. I expect the investigation to examine whether the crew recognised the tail strike and what the QRH required.

Two captains, a commander in the jump seat, and a silent recorder

The flight deck arrangement warrants attention. A very experienced captain handled take-off, while the operator's nominated pilot in command sat in the left jump seat and took control only at 9,000 ft. With two captains up front and the commander not in a pilot seat, who owned the reject-or-continue decision? Authority gradients in augmented crews are a standard CRM line of inquiry, and this event will test that question.


Then there is the cockpit voice recorder. Each recorder holds two hours of audio. The aircraft landed and remained powered for more than two hours after take-off, so the take-off audio was overwritten. We will never know whether V1 and rotate were called, or what was said during those 18 seconds. Under ICAO Annex 13 guidelines, the aircraft operator must take all necessary precautionary measures to protect and preserve the recorded evidence, which, logistically, means powering down the units as soon as the aircraft is safely parked. Many regulators have issued supplementary orders to the airlines to ensure compliance with this requirement.


VN-A867 was built in 2016, before ICAO's 25-hour CVR requirement for new aircraft. Every operator flying older types should take this as a reminder: your procedures for protecting recorders after an event matter, and the clock starts at the event, not at the gate.

Preventive measures: what can be done now

So far, the official response has been oversight and review. That is necessary, but it is not a fix. We do not need the final report to act on what is already evident, and the measures fall naturally into two groups.
For operators and training departments

1. Foot position on the take-off roll. Make heel contact with the floor an explicit SOP item for the take-off roll, and have instructors and examiners observe and debrief it.

2. Degraded-acceleration scenarios in the simulator. Not engine failures: dragging brakes, a heavy aircraft that will not accelerate, a take-off that does not feel right. Let crews discover how quickly 4,000 metres disappears.

3. Teach V1 as a distance proxy. Crews should know when V1 is no longer valid. Give them a practical cross-check of speed against runway remaining, using distance markers or an operator-defined acceleration gate.

4. A callout for stagnant speed. Train the pilot monitoring to call "speed not increasing" as a defined event, the same way we train "engine failure". A named callout turns a vague unease into a decision point.

5. Know what dragging brakes look like. Brief the cues: a yaw requiring constant rudder, poor acceleration, and rising brake temperatures on the synoptic. On the 787, those cues are subtle, which is precisely the point.

6. Clarify authority in augmented crews. Brief who decides to reject or continue, and what the jump seat commander does, before every take-off.

7. Tail strike discipline. Refresh recognition of a probable tail strike and the QRH priorities that follow, including pressurisation and a prompt landing.

8. Protect the evidence. Make recorder preservation a fixed item after any event that may need investigation and remember the CVR clock starts at the event.

For manufacturers and regulators

1. Take-off acceleration monitoring. Airbus has introduced take-off monitoring functions on some newer types. This event makes a strong case for comparable protection across the fleet, alerting the crew when actual acceleration falls short of the planned profile.

2. Brake-on-take-off alerting. If the brake command rises above a small threshold while take-off thrust is set and no reject is in progress, the crew should be alerted immediately. The 787 already measures the brake command, but no one on the flight deck is alerted.

3. Recorder duration. ICAO's 25-hour CVR requirement applies only to new aircraft. A large in-service fleet still carries two-hour recorders, and this investigation shows the cost of that gap.

4. Brake system scrutiny. If the BFU's testing finds a fault in the control units or actuator controllers, expect rapid action. Until then, a prudent 787 operator would review its own brake-related defect history now, not later.

The last thought is the uncomfortable one. Nothing failed in the classic sense here: no engine quit, no warning sounded, and the weather was benign. The aircraft simply did not accelerate, and our training and technology are mostly built to detect failures, not a take-off that is quietly too slow.


Author: GR Mohan

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Eighteen Seconds at 168 Knots: What the VN34 Munich Interim Report Tells Us

  A Take-off that used 4,000 metres of runway, and then some On 15 August 2026, a Vietnam Airlines Boeing 787-9 departed from Munic...